**No Updates Posted Through 10/17/13**

[notice]Blog update: I will be unable to update the blog for the remainder of the week. The next update is scheduled for Friday, October 18.[/notice]

The pattern outlook originally planned for Tuesday will be posted in its full version on Friday instead. The planned outlook for today was summarized in the Twitter page as follows:

Week 1 (Oct 16-23): Temp 1-2° above avg, precip below avg. Temps mostly in 65-72° range, most of precip from isolated showers on Thurs-Fri.

Week 2 (Oct 24-30): Temp 3-7° below avg, precip near-below avg. Temps mostly in 50s, possible storm late next week may produce more rain.

2 thoughts on “**No Updates Posted Through 10/17/13**

  1. Anonymous Reply

    May that late week storm become historic and produce snow in the area as the GFS model pointed out last night?

    • NYC Area Weather Post authorReply

      Given the low reliability and high run-to-run inconsistency of the GFS beyond the 180 hour range, the idea of a snowstorm based on the GFS depiction is extremely unlikely; yesterday’s 0z GFS run did show a nor’easter, but verbatim it actually showed a cold rain event for the area as boundary layer temperatures were too warm to support snow. A low pressure may form offshore in this time frame, which today’s model guidance indicated with a generally weak low off the coast, although whether any storm affects the area or stays offshore is uncertain at this time.

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