Occasional storm updates will be posted below on the scattered storms affecting the western half of the area this afternoon and evening.
6:05 PM: The line of storms continues to slowly make its way east, and as of 6 PM is located near eastern Morris and western Union/Essex/Bergen counties. The northern portion of the line north of Morris county weakened with just light to moderate rain, while the southern portion of the line contains locally heavy rainfall up to or locally over 1/2 inch. This segment of the line will continue to move east, moving through NYC in the next hour while gradually weakening as it makes its way over and east of the city.
This is the last storm update for today. The next forecast update will be posted tomorrow.
4:55 PM: Over the last hour, the storms in eastern PA continued to move east, and are currently located near Morris and W Passaic counties. The line continues to move to the east, and will affect north central NJ within the next 30-45 minutes, NE NJ in the next 60-90 minutes, and NYC in the next 2 hours. Radar estimates show this line is capable of producing 1/2 to 1 inch of rain in a short period of time along with gusty winds.
The line moved into the area earlier than expected, which this morning’s model guidance indicated would be more towards the evening hours, which is allowing it to maintain its intensity further east than expected as well; the line is still likely to weaken once getting into and east of NYC, however. Storms will continue to weaken this evening and overnight as the cold front slowly moves through.
3:55 PM: The cold front is currently located near central Pennsylvania and slowly moving east. Earlier this afternoon, scattered showers from a leftover severe thunderstorm to the south moved through the area while weakening, producing light rainfall until dissipating north of NYC. Over the last 1-2 hours, additional heavy thunderstorms, some of them strong, developed over eastern PA and are slowly moving east into central NJ.
A strong thunderstorm is currently located near south Morris county and will move ENE to reach E Passaic and W Bergen counties within the next hour with heavy rain, gusty winds and small hail possible. Additionally, a line of strong storms is slowly moving east into western NJ, and is producing heavy rainfall up to 1/2 to locally 1 inch as well as gusty winds. These storms are expected to gradually weaken as they reach NYC early this evening and dissipate further east overnight.