May 3, 2013: Mild Weekend; Rain Uncertainty Next Week

Forecast Highlights:

After a weak back door cold front moved through the area last night, temperatures today were slightly cooler than those of yesterday, especially inland. Temperatures will remain mostly seasonable with mostly sunny skies through the weekend into early next week, but with uncertainty regarding the next storm towards mid-late next week and how much rain it produces.




Tonight – Monday: Mostly Sunny, Seasonable

Following last night’s back door cold front, temperatures today were slightly cooler with more sunshine, with 850mb temperatures cooling down to about 3-5C. As a mid level low to the east continues to track southeast and away from the region, temperatures aloft will slowly warm up over the weekend into Monday and Tuesday, and along with lighter winds at the surface and continued mostly sunny skies, temperatures will slightly warm up, peaking in the low to mid 60s in Long Island and coastal CT, mid to upper 60s in NYC, and upper 60s to low 70s north and west of NYC including interior CT.

Mid-Late Next Week: Rain Uncertainty

A stalled frontal boundary that has produced a historic late season winter storm across the Midwest will become a cutoff low and begin to slowly drift east over the weekend, reaching the East by the mid-late week but with uncertainty regarding the track. The latest models show this as a weak low pressure tracking up the coast, resulting in scattered showers with generally light rain amounts and temperatures back into the upper 50s-mid 60s for highs. This scenario is still subject to change, although at this time scattered showers are a reasonable possibility for the Tues-Thurs time frame. Uncertainty increases beyond next Thursday in the outlook, although some models show the possibility for additional showers around next weekend but with additional changes likely considering this is over a week away. Stay tuned for more information on next week’s outlook.

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