Nov 6, 2012 Morning Update
This is very unusual, and an unprecedented move on my part, but I had to remove my forecast discussion from last night. The model guidance is almost never this inconsistent – in the nearly 3 years I had this blog, and before that as well, the model guidance was never this inconsistent with an expected storm just 1-2 days prior to the event. After every single model trending and staying east last night, this morning’s models are trending back west just as quickly.
Stay tuned for more information as I post additional updates on this frequently changing situation. An update will be posted at noon, focusing less on the model guidance and more on the observations.