Oct 16, 2012: Friday Rain, Then Slightly Colder

Forecast Highlights:

– Warming up this week through Thursday
– Rain expected for Friday; slightly cooler for Saturday
– Brief warm up early next week followed by cooler temps



Tonight – Thursday: Warming Up

Following yesterday’s cold front, cooler temperatures were observed today, with temperatures tonight dropping into the 30s for interior areas north and west of NYC, including southern Connecticut and colder parts of central-eastern Long Island. Following the brief cool down, a warming trend will return, with highs on Wednesday reaching the low to mid 60s across the area and highs reaching the mid to upper 60s on Thursday. Parts of the immediate NYC area may reach the low 70s, especially near NE NJ. Mostly sunny skies are expected for both days.

Friday – Saturday: Cold Front Brings Rain, Then Briefly Cooler

A strong closed low in the north central US will weaken as it moves towards the region, although it will still bring a cold front through on Friday, capable of producing locally heavy rainfall along with gusty SE winds. Highs are again expected to reach the mid 60s to low 70s across the area. Rain totals are expected to end up generally between 1/4 and 3/4 inch, with amounts locally up to or over 1 inch possible. Behind the cold front, cooler temperatures will briefly return as a weak trough moves into the region, with highs returning into the upper 50s to mid 60s for Saturday along with drier conditions.

Sunday – Early Next Week: Brief Warmth Surge

A brief surge of warmth is expected for Sunday into Tuesday, with highs warming up well into the 60s and possibly the low 70s again along with mostly sunny skies. A cold front is expected to move through the region around Tuesday with a risk of some rain, which will be followed by another trough. The intensity of this trough remains a bit uncertain, considering it’s a solution the models only began showing recently, although highs are expected to return into the 50s to low, possibly mid 60s towards the middle of next week. Stay tuned for more information on the longer range.

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