As a high pressure spread from New England into the NYC area, today brought mostly sunny skies to the area. Temperatures were chilly as the leftovers of the cold air mass stayed in place, with high temperatures reaching the mid 60s inland, upper 60s to 70 degrees in the immediate NYC area, and the upper 60s across most of Long Island and southern Connecticut. Due to the mainly clear cloud cover and the high pressure in place, temperatures this morning were chilly as well, with parts of NW NJ and SE NY dropping into the upper 30s for lows.
An approaching front will bring an end to the stretch of dry weather, however. Almost half a month after the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee brought heavy rain into the region, a slow moving front combined with a cut off low will affect the region, producing moderate to locally heavy rain for the second half of this week, with the potential for 1 to 3 inches of rain to affect the area. With the pattern in place, the cut off low will stay stationary, keeping a risk of showers in place through this weekend and into early next week.
Next Weekend – Next Week: Clouds, Rain Stick Around
As previously mentioned, a cut off low is expected to develop over the Ohio Valley around Friday. The main flow of storms, however, will be stuck over central Canada, and there does not appear to be any feature pushing southwards towards the US to pick up this upper level low. As a reuslt, the cut off low is expected to remain stationary over the Ohio Valley through the weekend and into early next week as well. This scenario will keep average temperatures in place as the cold air mass remains stuck over the Ohio Valley, with temperatures reaching the lower to mid 70s across most of the area for the weekend into early next week, potentially getting into the upper 70s near and south of NYC in the warmer case scenario. There is more uncertainty with the rain potential, however, as some models keep dry conditions in place, while others show scattered showers with another storm developing around early next week. Stay tuned for more information on the outlook for next weekend and next week with tomorrow night’s update.