4:20 PM: With the warm front stuck just south of NYC, the area is currently seeing chilly temperatures with most of the tri-state area below 70 degrees, which is colder than the expectation for today. Some strong storms are trying to move into New Jersey from eastern Pennsylvania, but are weakening as they are doing so, and for the short term, these storms will likely dissipate before reaching New York City.
Later today, however, the cold front will move through in the evening. With the cold front, there is a better risk of scattered thunderstorms, especially between 6 and 10 PM tonight. The best risk of storms will stay in Pennsylvania and New York, and the storms will significantly weaken as they move east of NYC into Long Island and southern Connecticut, but storms today will still be capable of producing locally heavy rain and gusty winds, especially west of NYC. Drier conditions will return for tonight, with tomorrow bringing warmer temperatures and mainly dry conditions with an isolated thunderstorm possible north of NYC in the late afternoon and evening hours.