April 6, 2011: Taste Of Summer On Monday?

As a weak disturbance quickly moved east towards the area, today brought increasing cloud cover with high temperatures peaking earlier in the afternoon, in the lower to mid 50s across the area. The weak disturbance began producing showers late this afternoon across the area, resulting in temperatures quickly dropping into the 40s, especially for the northwestern parts of the area.

This weak disturbance will continue to produce light rain through tomorrow morning, with drier conditions and more sunshine expected by tomorrow evening. Additional weak storms will continue to affect the area, producing some showers on Friday afternoon and again around Sunday, however as a storm develops in the central US by Sunday, a much warmer air mass will move into the region by Monday, potentially bringing parts of the area close to even reaching the 80 degree mark.

Tomorrow’s Outlook:

The weak disturbance currently affecting the area will produce mainly cloudy skies and a few showers tomorrow morning before ending by the afternoon, with mostly cloudy skies expected afterwards. High temperatures are expected to peak in the lower to mid 50s across most of the area, except for Long Island which should peak in the upper 40s to lower 50s. An ENE/NE wind is expected.

Thursday Night – Sunday: Mainly Cloudy, Some Rain

On Thursday night, another storm, this time more organized, will approach the area from the west. A high pressure in New England will be strong enough to keep the storm mostly south of the area, however a few showers are still expected on Friday, especially towards the evening and early overnight hours. Temperatures will peak in the lower to upper 50s across the area, with the warmest temperatures in the immediate NYC area.

Saturday will bring drier conditions with mostly cloudy skies, though an isolated shower cannot be ruled out. Temperatures will slightly warm up, peaking in the mid 50s to lower 60s across the area, however the warmest conditions have yet to come. A few showers are possible on Saturday night and Sunday, with warmer temperatures on Sunday, expected to peak in the lower to mid 60s west of NYC.

Monday: A Taste Of Summer?

A storm which will organize in the central US on Sunday will move northeast on Monday towards the Great Lakes. This storm will pull in a very warm air mass, with 850 mb temperatures likely to reach and pass 15c. It is possible that cooler temperatures will get as far as the immediate NYC area with the warmest temperatures in western NJ, however in the warmer case scenario, temperatures would peak in the mid to upper 70s on Monday afternoon from NYC and further west with 60s/50s further east, and may even reach the 80 degree mark west of NYC. This would be followed by a cold front with thunderstorms on Monday night or Tuesday morning, which may be strong/severe depending on the timing of the storm. Stay tuned for more information on this storm.

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