10:30 PM: The “Weather Alerts” page has been updated, with a Rain Warning/Watch and a Wind Alert in effect. The Wind Alert may be upgraded to a High Wind Watch on Saturday.
7:00 PM: The latest models continue to show a heavy rain and thunderstorm event for tomorrow night, with the heaviest rain expected from NYC and further west with anywhere from 1.25 to as much as 2.5 inches expected. East of NYC, lighter rainfall amounts are expected, with amounts ranging from 1/2 inch further east to locally up to 1.5 inches closer to NYC. The heaviest rain is expected to fall between 8 PM and 4 AM, with with non-severe thunderstorms expected as well. Winds are expected to gust between 40 and 50 mph across parts of the area, and the potential exists for gusts up to 55 mph in the immediate NYC area and Long Island/southern Connecticut. Sunday is expected to be dry with clearing skies.
Looking at the longer range, some light rain is expected to fall on Monday night into Tuesday, with a more significant warm up for Wednesday expected, with temperatures warming up into the 70s for parts of the area and a cold front overnight producing showers and thunderstorms. Any severe weather potential is uncertain at this time, but it will be watched should there be such a potential. Another brief update will be posted tomorrow.