***This post is from 2011. Please visit the MAIN PAGE to see the latest forecasts for the NYC area.
The area again observed mainly cloudy and chilly conditions today, with more cloud cover than originally anticipated, even bringing scattered rain and snow showers to parts of the area. High temperatures reached the lower 40s in the interior parts of the area and the mid 40s for the rest of the area.
These chilly conditions are only temporary, as mostly sunny skies are expected tomorrow along with high temperatures reaching the lower 50s for NYC and places further west. Moderate to heavy rain will return into the forecast for Wednesday, however the rain is not expected to be a long duration event, with rain totals between 1/2 and 3/4 inch expected. Temperatures will continue to warm for the rest of the week, reaching the 70 degree mark in New York City by Friday, which only becomes the average high temperature in early May.
**Note: Temperatures in the western parts of the area may be a little cooler than the map to the left shows.**
After today's chilly and cloudy conditions, tomorrow will bring more sunshine to the area, with a sunny start to the day and increasing clouds by the late afternoon. Temperatures will be slightly warmer than today, but will not be very warm just yet. The high pressure just to the east of the area will result in a SSE wind, which will lead to colder temperatures in the eastern parts of the area, expected to reach the mid 40s. The warmest temperatures will be from NYC and further west, where high temperatures are expected to peak in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Wednesday: Locally Heavy Rain Possible
After a break that lasted a few days since the last storm hit the area with heavy rain and significant flooding, yet another storm will affect the area on Wednesday, however this storm will have a much lighter impact when compared to the previous storms. Light rain is expected to develop during the early to mid overnight hours, which may mix with sleet and potentially snow for the interior parts of the area before changing over to rain. During Wednesday morning, the rain will intensify and may be locally heavy at times, however the storm will not last long, and by 2-3 PM the rain should already be east of New York City.
This storm will not have heavy rain totals associated with it, however rain totals of 1/2 to 3/4 inch are still expected across most of the area. This will be the last storm to affect the area with precipitation for a while, as other than the potential for a few showers on Friday night, the next storm to affect the area will be about a week afterwards, on Tuesday and Wednesday, March 22-23.
Thursday - Saturday: Early May-Like Temperatures
As mentioned with yesterday's update, warmer temperatures will return to the area behind this storm. On Thursday, mostly sunny skies are expected with high temperatures warming up into the upper 50s to lower 60s. A few mid 60s cannot be ruled out southwest of NYC. As a weak storm moves into the northern Northeast on Friday, a much warmer air mass will continue to move into the area, with high temperatures expected to peak in the mid to upper 60s for most of the area on Friday. Temperatures are expected to even reach the lower 70s for parts of the immediate NYC area, something New York City has not seen since the fall.
There has been a slight change in the expected storm scenario, and it appears that the storm will come in two parts for the Northeast, one on Friday and the other from Friday night into Saturday. Both of these rounds are expected to stay to the north of the area, and other than an isolated shower, mainly dry conditions are expected. Low temperatures will fail to drop significantly overnight, staying in the 50s overnight for the immediate NYC area, and will rise on Saturday into the lower 60s with breezy conditions expected.
Sunday And Beyond: More Warmth, For Now
A colder air mass will return into the region behind the storm, but it will fail to produce very cold temperatures, with high temperatures still expected to peak in the lower to mid 50s across the area on Sunday. Afterwards, there is uncertainty with the specific details, however another storm is expected to stay to the north and west of the area, bringing in warmer temperatures once again for next Tuesday and Wednesday as well as the next potential for a widespread rain event for the area. More information will be posted on this storm as details become clearer.