Jan 12, 2011: Cold Temperatures Return


***This post is from 2011. Please visit the MAIN PAGE to see the latest forecasts for January 2012.

————————————————————-

While the western parts of the area were dry for most of the day, cloudy skies and light to moderate snow persisted in the eastern parts of the area during the day. The area is dry by now, with cloudy to mostly cloudy skies and slowly dropping temperatures, as a much colder air mass will bring the coldest temperatures of the winter so far to parts of, if not most of the area.

Tomorrow’s Outlook:

Tomorrow will be a partly sunny day across the area, with a northwest wind expected. High temperatures will be colder, in the lower to mid 20s inland and in the mid to upper 20s for the eastern parts of the area. A light wind will lead to wind chills in the 10s for most of the area during the day.

Low temperatures tomorrow night will be cold, currently expected to be in the mid to upper 0s inland and in the upper 0s to mid 10s for the suburbs north and west of NYC.

Friday And Saturday: Cold Continues

On Friday, high temperatures are expected to be close to those of tomorrow, slightly colder or warmer in some places, however low temperatures on Friday night will be much colder, with the potential for low temperatures as low as the lower to mid single digits for the western parts of the area, and upper 0s to lower 10s in the suburbs north and west of New York City.

Saturday will bring warmer temperatures, with high temperatures in the mid 20s to lower 30s across the area, though cloud cover will increase as a weak clipper to the north of the area brings widespread light snow to the Northeast. Some snow showers are still possible in the area, especially north of New York City, though accumulations, if any, will be very light.

Sunday – Monday: Slightly Warmer

After the clipper exits the region, mostly cloudy skies will continue on Sunday, however the main change will be warmer temperatures, as high temperatures are expected to be in the lower to mid 30s across the area with a few upper 30s possible. Monday will bring slightly cooler temperatures with partly cloudy skies.

Tuesday – Wednesday: Another Storm, But This Time Rain?

By Tuesday, there is a rather large spread with the models regarding the exact scenario, however a storm is expected to be active during this time frame, with the potential of a low pressure either offshore or inland moving northeast, affecting the area from Tuesday into Wednesday. Despite the uncertainty, however, a snow event is less likely this time. The blocking pattern that we have seen so far appears to be reloading with a positive NAO expected, which is not supportive of a snowstorm for the area, and the latest models also show a lack of cold air despite the storm track being in a favorable position for a snowstorm on some models.

While there is still time for changes with the forecast, at this time a mostly, if not plain rain event is likely for the area between Tuesday and Wednesday, with the potential of a mainly frozen precipitation event further inland into the Northeast. Note that there is still some uncertainty, and this could change, with the potential for some frozen precipitation in the area. Stay tuned for more updates on this storm and how it may affect the area.

Leave a Reply