Note: If you have read the winter outlook before this update was posted, please check the bottom of the winter outlook, as a small edit was added in.
No full update will be posted tonight, the next one will come tomorrow, though below I will briefly review the expected scenario for the next week, which I will discuss in more details tomorrow as well as the longer range and an update for early December.
Wednesday should be much colder, with highs only in the 40s to lower 50s, with overnight lows even colder, in the 20s for most of the area except for NYC and the immediate coast.
On Thursday, while it no longer appears that the immediate NYC area has much of a chance of seeing front end snow out of the storm except for parts of Rockland county, the interior areas still have a chance of seeing some snow/sleet when the storm starts on Thursday afternoon, which will change over to rain in the overnight hours. There could be flakes for the central and western parts of the area on Friday evening as the cold front moves through and temperatures drop. More will be discussed on the Thanksgiving storm with tomorrow’s update.
For the weekend, while extreme cold is not expected, slightly below average temperatures are likely, from the upper 30s to mid 40s across the area, with lows in the 20s for most of the area except for NYC and the immediate coast. Temperatures on Sunday will start to warm up as another storm may then form in the central US and potentially move towards the Great Lakes according to the latest models. Stay tuned for more details on this time frame.