July 17: Another Hot Week Ahead

Note: The 5-Day Forecast was updated today for the immediate NYC area and the interior.

The hot temperatures that are in place show no sign of leaving, as another hot week is ahead of the area. Today reached the lower to mid 90s again, and while there will be some cooler days, especially for the middle of this week, the above average temperatures will persist.

Tomorrow’s Outlook:

Tomorrow should continue with 90+ degrees away from the coast, however it should be slightly cooler than today, with lower to mid 90s for the immediate NYC area, and upper 80s to lower 90s for the interior. Long Island and southern CT should also warm up into the upper 80s.

The area should stay dry, with mostly sunny skies, however as with today, showers and thunderstorms, some of which could become severe, are expected to our west, in western Pennsylvania and New York.

Monday And Tuesday: Hot, Humid And Some Storms

As a cold front approaches for Monday, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected. Due to the lack of supportive parameters, no widespread strong to severe thunderstorms are expected, and these storms also shouldn’t produce heavy rainfall like the storms early this week. High temperatures should be in the lower to mid 90s, which combined with humid conditions, will make it feel like the upper 90s.

For Tuesday, a slightly cooler air mass moves in, but like the others so far this year, it should considerably weaken by the time that it reaches the area, with high temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s for the immediate NYC area, and the mid to upper 80s inland. The only significant change should be the lower humidity.

Longer Range: Heat Slowly Returns

Wednesday and Thursday should slowly warm up, with temperatures staying in the upper 80s to lower 90s for the immediate NYC area. By Friday, however, the next cold front should approach, with temperatures likely returning into the lower to mid 90s, along with higher humidity. There is still some uncertainty, as not all of the models are consistent with this solution, however it would bring a chance of storms for Friday and Friday night. More details on this potential will come once there is less uncertainty.

Afterwards, there are large differences with the models. Some bring in a large trough, with temperatures cooling down into the upper 70s to lower 80s. Looking at this summer’s pattern, however, such a solution would be unlikely, as most of the cold air masses that approached the area significantly weakened once they reached the area. As a result, no significant change is expected with the temperatures, with highs potentially staying in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

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