Tracking Tropical Invest 2-A (Atlantic)
The second invest of this year’s Atlantic hurricane season has formed yesterday, being named 92L by the NHC, in the eastern Atlantic ocean. This invest has been able to intensify quickly under unusually favorable conditions this early in the hurricane season, though its activity has slightly decreased lately.
I do not expect this invest to develop into a tropical depression or storm. Despite it being over a relatively favorable environment at this time, it is important to note that historically in June, storms do not tend to form in the eastern Atlantic, let alone at unusually south latitudes (8-10N). With the invest approaching an area of higher wind shear, it only has a 10-18 hour time frame to become tropical before the wind shear prevents it from doing so, which is not enough time for this storm to intensify much.
Despite this invest being unlikely to develop, this does not automatically mean that this year’s hurricane season will also be inactive. Historically, June is a month that is inactive, as activity tends to pick up in July and August. My hurricane season forecast will be posted either late this week or the upcoming weekend, with my forecast for this year’s hurricane season.
Today’s update will be posted shortly.