Note: As I am unusually busy lately, I was unable to do an update yesterday, and may also not have enough time to make full updates every day until the end of next week. I will still try to update the blog during that time, though there may be some days that have short updates, or no updates at all.
Both yesterday and today proved to be wet days across the area, with yesterday bringing 1/2 to 1 inch of rain across the area, and today bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms which brought 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rain to some places, even bringing a severe thunderstorm to Connecticut. The next few days are going to continue with the warming trend, with high temperatures reaching the 80s by this weekend.
Tomorrow is going to be mainly sunny, unlike today which was mainly cloudy. High temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s for northern New Jersey and southeastern New York, and in the mid 70s for NYC with a south wind. This south wind, however, will create colder temperatures for Long Island and southern Connecticut, which should stay in the mid to upper 60s.
With a high pressure in control, the rest of the Northeast and Mid Altantic should also be mainly sunny. The rest of the region should have high temperatures also in the 60s and 70s, with the main exception being Virginia, where a warmer air mass will lead to high temperatures in the 80s.
Weekend Forecast: Warm, Some Storms
By this weekend, a warm front should move through, bringing warmer temperatures. Saturday should be partly sunny with the chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm, with high temperatures reaching the lower to mid 80s.
On Sunday, high temperatures are expected to be in the mid to upper 80s, locally reaching the lower 90s, though more clouds are expected along with scattered showers and thunderstorms. While there are some parameters for severe weather in place, there is not enough wind shear, and as a result, a widespread severe thunderstorm outbreak is not expected, though there might be some strong to severe thunderstorms if the parameters become more favorable.
Early Next Week Overview
As the storms exit the area early next week, instead of significantly cooling down, the temperatures are expected to only slightly cool down, into the upper 70s to lower 80s. There is uncertainty on the time period afterwards, with the model solutions ranging from a chilly rain and highs in the 60s to sunny skies and highs in the 80s, so more details will come on this time period once there is less uncertainty.