May 5: Thunderstorms To Return Tomorrow

With mainly sunny skies and temperatures reaching the lower 80s, today was a nice day across the area. While today was dry, tomorrow should not be the same.

Tomorrow’s Outlook:

High temperatures tomorrow are expected to be slightly colder than today, around the upper 70s to lower 80s. A cold front will move through during the day, however this should not make the temperatures much colder.

Tomorrow, however, should bring thunderstorms during the morning and early afternoon hours. The cold front is going to produce areas of showers and thunderstorms, and while the heaviest storms should stay to our north and east, we should also get thunderstorms. With some severe weather factors in place, some storms could be locally strong or severe, however a widespread severe weather outbreak is not anticipated. The thunderstorms should exit by the late afternoon with clearing skies.

Friday And Saturday Storm, Rest Of Weekend Forecast

The models have started to come more into an agreement for the storm on Saturday, showing an area of rain moving to our north late on Friday night, with a cold front moving through on Saturday afternoon, bringing through showers and thunderstorms, which some may become strong. There is still some uncertainty, as the GFS brings the cold front through earlier, on Saturday morning, however at this time I am thinking that the GFS is too fast with the overall pattern during this time period. While I am considering the GFS an outlier for now, it is possible that this solution could verify, and the front would then move through on Saturday morning.

Sunday should be a very chilly day across the area. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures should only be in the mid to upper 50s in the interior areas, and in the upper 50s to lower 60s for NYC and closer to the coast. Overnight lows should also be cold, in the mid to upper 30s inland, and in the lower to mid 40s for the New York City area.

Storm Potential Returns Next Week

Monday and Tuesday are also expected to be chilly, though temperatures should slowly warm up, already reaching the lower to mid 60s by Tuesday, possibly even warmer. By late Tuesday night, however, the latest models are indicating that a relatively large storm is going to move into the area, bringing period of rain and thunderstorms between Wednesday and Friday. There is still uncertainty as this is in the longer range, however looking at the models, this storm has the potential to produce yet another heavy rain event across the area. Stay tuned for more details on this potential storm.

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