May 20: Potential Heat Spell Next Week

Unlike the past few days, today was much warmer, with high temperatures reaching the lower to mid 80s across most of the area. The relatively chilly pattern that we were previously in has ended, and this warm pattern is expected to continue, with potentially very warm temperatures next week.

Tomorrow’s Outlook:

Tomorrow is expected to be another warm and sunny day. High temperatures are expected to be slightly warmer than today, reaching the mid 80s inland, mid to upper 80s for the immediate NYC area, and in the lower to mid 70s for the immediate coast.

The whole region should also be dry tomorrow. The only area looking at precipitation tomorrow should be far western Pennsylvania and West Virginia from an approaching storm that might bring a wet Sunday to our area.

Weekend Outlook: Warm Saturday, Stormy Sunday

The nice conditions should last through Saturday, with partly sunny skies and temperatures slightly colder, in the mid to upper 70s across the area. Meanwhile, however, the storm to our west is going to approach, bringing increasing clouds by the evening hours.

There is still uncertainty with the storm’s impact on our area and how much rain, if any, it brings. We are most likely not looking at a widespread rain event but rather showers and thunderstorms, which may produce heavy rain. The question is where the best chance of rain is, as the model runs are all over the place, some bringing heavy rain to the area and others keeping the area dry. At this time, I am mentioning a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms for Sunday in my 5-day forecast, along with a slight chance for showers and storms on Saturday night. High temperatures should also be colder, in the lower to mid 70s, though it could end up slightly warmer.

Next Week: Potential Heat Spell, Stormy Late?

As I previously mentioned, the model runs have been showing potentially well above average temperatures next week. This is now starting to become more likely, with 90+ degrees potentially returning to the area. Monday should be slightly warmer than Sunday, with high temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s. By Tuesday, the temperatures should continue to warm up, reaching the mid to potentially upper 80s across the area. Wednesday should be even warmer, with high temperatures potentially in the range of the upper 80s to lower 90s.

By late next week, however, stormy conditions may be on the return. The latest model runs have showed some factors for severe weather in place by then. While it is uncertain if there are storms or not, this time period needs to be watched for storm potential.

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