Mar 5: Potential Storm Late Next Week

Weekend And Early Week Forecast

For the short term, some scattered rain and snow showers are impacting the area. These scattered showers should continue to impact parts of the area through the afternoon hours. Little to no snow accumulation is expected.

After today, the cold air mass that has been out of the area will be replaced by an expanding ridge, allowing for warmer temperatures and dry conditions. Tomorrow will already be warmer, with temperatures in the mid to upper 40s across the area. The warm up will continue, with sunny skies on Sunday and highs in the upper 40s across the area. Some places near New York City should reach 50 degrees. Monday will be the warmest day, with widespread temperatures in the 50s.

A weak storm that moves towards Maine around Tuesday from Canada should bring in colder air into the area. While we are looking at slightly colder temperatures, this should not be another cold spell with high temperatures returning into the 30s, but rather a brief period of high temperatures in the lower to mid 40s.

Storm Possible Late Next Week

As I previously mentioned, the models have been showing a storm for late next week. The GFS, for example, trended more suppressed with the storm yesterday, showing a track that would take it well south of the area. Last night’s model runs, however, now show a solution where another storm then forms in the South by the end of the week behind the original storm, then moves northeast towards the area, but due to the lack of cold air, it would bring rain to the area.

At this time, I am leaning more towards that direction, with the second storm moving NE out of the south and bringing rain to the area, but I am thinking that there should be enough cold air left so that the interior Northeast and interior northern Mid Atlantic get frozen precipitation out of this storm. This is still in the medium range, so it can still change. Stay tuned for more details on this potential storm.

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