Mar 12: Final Storm Forecast

I added a new page to the blog, titled Long Range Forecasts. In this new page, I am occasionally going to make longer range forecasts, such as weekly and monthly forecasts, hurricane season outlooks and winter outlooks.


Short Term Forecast:

Light rain is currently falling across the area, with some places seeing moderate rain. This first wave of rain is expected to continue affecting the area through tonight and Saturday morning, with light to occasionally moderate rain. At least 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rain is possible by tomorrow morning.

The temperatures are also slightly colder than expected, in the 40s across most of the area instead of the upper 40s to lower 50s. As a result, I have lowered my forecast temperatures, now expecting high temperatures in the mid to upper 40s with some places near 50 degrees for the New York City area and Long Island, and in the lower to mid 40s for northwestern New Jersey and interior southeastern New York.

Forecast For Tomorrow And Sunday:

There might be a brief break in the rain by tomorrow morning, though the heaviest rain should start falling tomorrow afternoon. The heavy rain continues through early Sunday morning, with the heaviest rain falling tomorrow night. Flooding is possible, along with windy conditions at times. The rain then becomes light for most of Sunday, with any remaining rain showers ending by Monday morning.

Total rain amounts from this storm are expected to be in the 2 to 4 inch range. The lowest amounts will be in northern Connecticut, with the highest totals south of New Jersey. I am using my rain map that was created yesterday as my final map, which is also posted below.

Possible Snow For Interior Areas?

While at first, it appeared that this storm would bring rain to all of the places that it affects, it is now possible that a little snow could fall in the higher elevations of central/western Pennsylvania and in the Catskills. While at this time, we are not looking at any significant snow there, with possibly an inch or two of very wet snow at most, it is something to keep an eye on, as the snow would cause further disruption to areas that have already been impacted by heavy rain and flooding. Some light snow is also possible in the higher elevations of central New England.

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