Feb 16: Storm Potential Next Week

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy. Low temperatures will be in the lower to mid 20s north and west of NYC, and in the mid to upper 20s for NYC and closer to the coast.

Tomorrow: Partly Cloudy. High temperatures will be in the mid to upper 30s north and west of NYC, and in the upper 30s to lower 40s for NYC and closer to the coast.

Tomorrow Night: Partly Cloudy. Low temperatures will be in the lower to mid 20s north and west of NYC, and in the upper 20s to lower 30s for NYC and closer to the coast.

Thursday: Partly Cloudy. High temperatures will be in the upper 30s to lower 40s north and west of NYC, and in the lower to mid 40s for NYC and closer to the coast.

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Short Term Forecast:

Light to moderate snow continues to fall across the area, with accumulations from barely an inch to as much as 8-10 inches being reported in the NYC tri-state area so far. The highest snow totals are coming out of northeastern New Jersey and southern Connecticut.

The back end of the snow is currently in Orange and western Bergen counties, with a band of moderate snow, and is slowly moving east. Expect snow to end in northern New Jersey and southeastern New York between 5 and 6 PM, and in Long Island between 7-10 PM.

Dry, Mild Week Ahead

After today’s storm, the rest of this week is expected to be dry, however temperatures should be near to slightly above average, bringing an end to the consistently below average temperatures since late January. High temperatures are expected to be anywhere between the mid 30s to the low-mid 40s, which will melt some of the snow pack on the ground. By the early weekend, a weak clipper is likely to pass to our south, and should only bring light snow accumulations to the Mid Atlantic as it will not have enough moisture to become a big snow producer. It may affect the area with some light snow, however that is still uncertain.

Big Storm Early Next Week?

After a break from the big, historic-level snowstorms, it appears that yet another one is possible early next week. While there is still a lot of uncertainty, some model runs have showed a big storm, with the 00z ECM run bringing 1-2 feet of snow from Washington DC to Boston. The GFS model is all over the place, having shown a storm moving through the Great Lakes in its 06z run, and a moderate snowstorm on the 12z run. The pattern is also favorable, with a negative NAO and AO and a neutral PNA. While there is still about a week left until this storm, this is the time period to keep an eye for the next big storm potential.

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