Jan 29: Very Cold Tomorrow

Verification for Thursday Night: I expected Partly Cloudy skies and windy conditions, with high temperatures in the lower to mid 10s north and west of NYC, and in the mid to upper 10s for NYC and closer to the coast. I expected wind chills in the single digits. The forecast verified.
Score: 4/4

Verification for Today: I expected Mostly Sunny skies and windy conditions, with high temperatures in the lower to mid 20s north and west of NYC, and in the mid to upper 20s for NYC and closer to the coast. I expected wind chills in the single digits in the morning. The temperatures were slightly colder than expected, in the upper 10s to lower 20s north and west of NYC, and in the lower to mid 20s for NYC and closer to the coast.
Score: 3/4

Tonight: Partly Cloudy. Very Cold. Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 0s north and west of NYC, in the upper 0s to lower 10s for the north and west suburbs of NYC, and in the lower to mid 10s for NYC and closer to the coast. Wind chills below 0 degrees are expected.

Tomorrow: Mostly Cloudy, with scattered snow showers possible south of NYC. Very Cold. High temperatures will be in the upper 10s to lower 20s north and west of NYC, and in the lower to mid 20s for NYC and closer to the coast. Wind chills below 0 degrees are expected in the morning.

Tomorrow Night: Partly Cloudy. Very Cold. Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 0s north and west of NYC, in the lower to mid 10s for the north and west suburbs of NYC, and in the mid to upper 10s for NYC and closer to the coast.

Sunday: Mostly Sunny. High temperatures will be in the mid to upper 20s north and west of NYC, and in the upper 20s to lower 30s for NYC and closer to the coast.

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Short Term Forecast (Friday Night to Sunday):

Tonight will be partly cloudy, yet very cold, with potentially the coldest temperatures of the winter for some areas. Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 0s north and west of NYC, in the upper 0s to lower 10s for the nearby north and west suburbs of NYC, and in the lower to mid 10s for NYC and closer to the coast. Wind chills will also be cold, with most of the region seeing wind chills below 0 degrees.

There is some uncertainty with tomorrow’s storm, as it appears to be further north than expected, meaning a few snow showers are possible from NYC south, but nothing more. High temperatures will be similar to today’s highs. Tomorrow Night still appears to be cold, with low temperatures slightly warmer than tonight, with clearing skies. For Sunday, mainly sunny skies return, with temperatures rising finally warming past the 30 degree mark in NYC and areas closer to the coast.

Medium Range Forecast (Monday to Thursday):

The warm up will continue through next week, with highs already returning into the 30s for the area by Monday. During Monday and Tuesday, high temperatures will be in the lower to mid 30s north and west of NYC, and in the mid to upper 30s for NYC and closer to the coast. For Wednesday, it originally appeared that a light precipitation event was possible, however the models mainly backed away from that. A few rain/snow showers are still possible though.

Next Weekend Storm Update:

The models have also been hinting at a storm for late next weekend. It’s currently too far out in the long range to know what the storm’s impacts will be, as the models are all over the place with the storm’s intensity and track. This can be expected at this time range, and it may take a few days before the models have more consistency. By at least Monday or Tuesday, we should most likely have a better idea of this storm’s impact, and if we do, I will make my first forecast for this storm should it impact us. Stay tuned for more updates.

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