Jan 2: Storm potential late next week

Verification for Friday: I expected cloudy skies with high temperatures in the upper 30s northwest of NYC, and in the lower 40s for NYC and closer to the coast. While the temperatures verified, the cloud cover was mostly cloudy, not cloudy.

Verification for Friday Night: I expected mostly cloudy skies with low temperatures in the lower to mid 20s northwest of NYC, and in the mid to upper 20s for NYC and closer to the coast. I have gone a bit too cold with my forecast lows, with the interior reaching the mid to upper 20s, with the coast reaching the upper 20s to low 30s.

Today: Cloudy. Scattered snow showers expected, locally heavy at times. Windy conditions possible at times. High temperatures will be in the mid 20s north and west of NYC, and in the upper 20s for NYC and closer to the coast. Snow accumulation less than an inch is possible in the heavier snow squalls.

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy with scattered snow showers. Cold and windy. Low temperatures will be in the low to mid 10s north and west of NYC, and in the upper 10s to lower 20s for NYC and closer to the coast. Wind chills below 0 degrees are possible.

Tomorrow: Mostly Cloudy with scattered snow showers. Cold and windy. High temperatures will be in the low 20s north and west of NYC, and in the mid 20s for NYC and closer to the coast. Wind chills below 0 degrees are possible in the morning. Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible.

Tomorrow Night: Mostly Cloudy. Cold and windy. Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 10s north and west of NYC, and in the low 20s for NYC and closer to the coast.

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Weather for next week, storm potential:

Yesterday’s relatively mild conditions are not expected to return anytime soon. In fact, we are looking at below average temperatures to continue through the whole week. High temperatures will stay in the upper 20s to the mid 30s for most of the week. Then things get more interesting by late next week. The pattern is supportive for a storm to form, and the cold air mass in place could potentially make precipitation fall as snow during some point of the storm. Storm history this winter also shows that most storms took a track up the East Coast and intensified into big storms, and the pattern for this storm is also favorable for that to possibly happen. This is still in the long range and there is uncertainty because of that, though the potential for a storm to affect the area late next week is definitely there.

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