Verification for Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy. Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 10s north and west of NYC, and in the lower to mid 20s for NYC and closer to the coast.
Tonight: Mostly Clear. Low temperatures will be in the upper 10s to lower 20s north and west of NYC, and in the lower to mid 20s for NYC and closer to the coast.
Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny. Warmer. High temperatures will be in the upper 30s to lower 40s across the region.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly Clear. Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 20s north and west of NYC, and in the upper 20s to lower 30s for NYC and closer to the coast.
Friday: Mostly Sunny. Mild. High temperatures will be in the lower to mid 40s north and west of NYC, and in the mid to upper 40s for NYC and closer to the coast.
Saturday is expected to stay mainly sunny with high temperatures still in the 40s, with Sunday slightly cooler, with inland locations seeing highs in the upper 30s. Then comes the greater uncertainty with the storm, which should affect the area between Sunday evening and Monday morning. The GFS model has trended considerably north, however it even went further north than I expected, bringing a soaking heavy rain to the area. This is actually a very possible solution, because we have a lack of cold air, and a storm that moves close to us, bringing heavier precipitation (which in this case, would be in the form of rain).
What we do know is that this storm will bring precipitation to the area, possibly moderate/heavy at times, and that it will be warm enough for this to not be a snowstorm. While the main precipitation type should be rain, it is very possible that we may get some snow/ice to start, with the coast being the least likely to see this, and chances of this becoming more likely further inland, away from NYC.
The storm will end on Martin Luther King Jr. Day (Monday) during the morning, with the afternoon and evening likely seeing mostly cloudy skies. High temperatures are expected to be in the upper 30s to lower 40s at this time. After this storm, temperatures generally stay near-slightly above average through most of next week.