I am splitting today’s update into two parts, one of them is this part about the short term forecast, and then I’ll do a discussion and scenario map for next weekend’s storm.
Below is my forecast verification from Saturday:
I did not do very well for Saturday night, because I expected temperatures to drop overnight, which did not happen. As it became likely that temperatures would continue rising, I updated my forecast to expect steady temperatures in the upper 40s to low 50s, however that was still too low. Temperatures across the region peaked in the low to mid 50s early Sunday morning, afterwards the temperatures dropped several degrees and stayed steady most of the day. For Sunday night’s forecast, the forecast verified better. Lows in Bergen County were in the upper 20s to mid 30s, and low to mid 30s in NYC, which is close to what I expected in my forecast.
Today: Cloudy skies becoming partly cloudy. A few rain/snow showers ending in the morning for southeastern New York (From Rockland county and further north). Temperatures will rise into the upper 30s to lower 40s across the region, then begin to fall in the late afternoon hours.
Tonight: Mostly Clear skies, with windy conditions possible at times. Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 10s north and west of NYC, and in the upper 10s to low 20s for NYC and closer to the coast.
Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny skies and windy. Very cold. High temperatures will be in the low 20s north and west of NYC, and in the low to mid 20s for NYC and closer to the coast. Wind chills will be in the single digits to lower 10s all day.
Tomorrow Night: Mostly Clear skies. Low temperatures will be in the lower 10s north and west of NYC, and in the mid to upper 10s for NYC and closer to the coast.